Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.009365 0.011150 0.013329 0.016236 0.020091 0.025146 0.032493
2025-05-04 0.007064 0.009107 0.011912 0.016209 0.022959 0.033838 0.054445
2025-05-11 0.005842 0.007917 0.010989 0.016162 0.025372 0.042908 0.085316
2025-05-18 0.004956 0.006952 0.010065 0.015685 0.026709 0.050827 0.124184
2025-05-25 0.004250 0.006107 0.009115 0.014833 0.026916 0.056541 0.167639
2025-06-01 0.003750 0.005500 0.008429 0.014254 0.027425 0.063450 0.232482
2025-06-08 0.003485 0.005232 0.008267 0.014628 0.030253 0.079488 0.401532
2025-06-15 0.003194 0.004878 0.007884 0.014442 0.031627 0.092577 0.644865
2025-06-22 0.002876 0.004437 0.007273 0.013619 0.030955 0.097561 0.875573
2025-06-29 0.002704 0.004236 0.007090 0.013720 0.033037 0.117519 1.728960
2025-07-06 0.002595 0.004135 0.007084 0.014241 0.036742 0.152775 5.328530
2025-07-13 0.002531 0.004108 0.007225 0.015165 0.042467 0.216516 57.723969
2025-07-20 0.002416 0.003990 0.007193 0.015744 0.047915 0.307983 NaN
2025-07-27 0.002265 0.003789 0.006955 0.015714 0.051066 0.402410 NaN
2025-08-03 0.002132 0.003606 0.006733 0.015669 0.054267 0.532512 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001988 0.003390 0.006402 0.015212 0.055151 0.643427 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001840 0.003150 0.005988 0.014395 0.053591 0.695903 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001720 0.002961 0.005674 0.013839 0.053257 0.797151 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001661 0.002893 0.005638 0.014198 0.058907 1.264607 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001580 0.002771 0.005458 0.014020 0.061045 1.711480 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001477 0.002594 0.005124 0.013229 0.058346 1.765750 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001423 0.002520 0.005040 0.013326 0.062406 2.803821 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001391 0.002490 0.005063 0.013827 0.070475 6.398565 NaN